H2H: Bayern Munich vs Werder Bremen – Prediction (Bundesliga

Preview and Teams Comparison.

Two successive Bundesliga defeats for Bayern Munich precede this one, but the hosts are still favourites to win, and even with a -4 handicap. Significantly in that regard, Bayern have successfully eradicated an average handicap of -3.5 across their last four Bundesliga home wins. Overall, Bayern have averaged exactly 4.0 goals per-game across their last four Bundesliga home wins. H2H history implies that they could well improve upon that average, especially after the break, with Bayern winning the second half by a margin of 2+ goals in seven of their last eight Bundesliga H2Hs at home.

Werder Bremen make this daunting journey having lost three of their last four matches. Their only goals within those defeats came beyond the 75th minute, and regardless of the result, they have ultimately averaged just 0.25 first-half goals from open play across their last four fixtures. Nonetheless, Bremen are ‘in the black’ with their record as an away outsider in league games since August 2018 (W7, D6, L6). Their last away match (W 3-2) put them in that territory, and represented Bremen’s fourth awayday in their last six to see them score twice prior to the hour mark.

Players to watch: Three of Robert Lewandowski’s last four goalscoring home league appearances for Bayern have seen him net (at least) ‘Goal 2’ of the entire match, and do so in the second half. A Milot Rashica double, with a goal inside the first and last 15 minutes at Wolfsburg (Dec 1), gave Bremen only their second Bundesliga away win of the season.

Stat attack: Bayern have won the second half with a cleansheet in their last three competitive home wins. Six of Bremen’s last seven Bundesliga away matches have produced over 3.5 goals and seen both teams score. All but one of the matches in the above sequence saw the first two match goals shared equally.