H2H: Ferencvaros vs. CSKA Moscow – Prediction (Europa League

Preview and Teams Comparison.

Ferencvaros won their only previous home game against Russia opponents, which was against CSKA Moscow in the 1994-95 Cup Winner’s Cup first round (2-1).

Ferencváros got their first three points of this UEFA Europa League (UEL) group stage with a 1-0 win versus CSKA Moscow in the reverse fixture. Significantly, that result made it five UEL fixtures from their last seven that finished with under 2.5 goals, and means four of their last five wins (in all competitions) have arrived via a one-goal margin. Roland Varga came off the bench to score Ferencváros’ winner in the reverse – his side are unbeaten in the last 26 games he’s scored (W20, D6). Averaging 4.0 total goals across their five European home games this term (W3, L2), and with no goalless draw at home in their last 50 matches (in all competitions), this game promises action, even if four of Ferencváros’ last five competitive home victories have come via a 1-0 scoreline.

Ferencváros have scored the opener in their last five games, four times before the 25th minute. There’s been under 2.5 goals in CSKA’s previous five games, with three goalless at half-time. There’s been a penalty in four of CSKA’s last six away fixtures.

CSKA have a had a poor UEL campaign (L3), and travel here winless in their last five UEL fixtures (D1, L4), conceding an average of 2.8 goals per game across that period. Notably, both teams have scored in four of their previous six UEL away games (W2, D1, L3). CSKA’s Nikola Vlašić netted the opener last time out – he’s been his side’s first goalscorer in four of the five games he’s found the net this season. Whilst the Russians have held their own in the first half during their group stage matches this campaign (HT: W1, D2), they have capitulated in the second half every time, with all eight goals they’ve conceded being shipped after the break, with five coming in the final half-hour.