Italy vs. Greece – Score prediction (12.10.2019)


Despite conceding first in two of the last three games, Italy (FIFA ranked #15) have won all six matches in Group J – the last five of which produced over 2.5 goals. Scoring at least two goals in each Euro qualifying (ECQ) game, six of Italy’s last seven goals have arrived after the break (85.71%). The ‘Gli Azzurri’ have a tendency to go late in games under Roberto Mancini (W9, D4, L2), scoring in the final 16 minutes in seven of their last eight wins (incl. friendlies). The only exception was actually the reverse H2H in June (3-0), with Italy scoring all their goals before the break.

First a financial crisis, now a football crisis, Greece (W1, D2, L3) are on the brink of elimination after a home draw with Lichenstein last game, with the #182 ranked team accounting for four of Greece’s five-point haul. Indeed, the last time Greece (#60) beat a FIFA-ranked top 20 side was more than three years ago (Netherlands). Still, Greece have gained more Group J points on the road than at home, scoring four of their seven goals on their travels – none of which arrived before the 45th minute.

Match Info.

Competition: EUROPE: Euro – Qualification – Round 7
Kick off: 12.10.2019, 18:45 UTC.
Venue: Stadio Olimpico (Rome).
Referee: TBD.

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Quick Facts.

  • Efthymios Koulouris will be aiming for his first goal for Greece after scoring in his last two club games. All four of his goals in France this season arrived after the break.
  • Ciro Immobile has already scored nine competitive goals this season and opened the scoring in Italy’s last match.
  • Italy have lost just one of 17 H2H encounters (W11, D5).
  • Greece have found the net in ten of their last 13 competitive away games.
  • Both open-play goals Italy conceded in Group J were scored in the first half.
  • The last time Italy lost a competitive home game was in 1999 (Denmark 2-3).
  • Pre-match League Table.