Marseille vs Brest – Prediction (Ligue 1 – 27.11.2019)

Preview and Teams Comparison.

Marseille enter this match looking to complete a run of seven consecutive Ligue 1 (L1) home fixtures without a loss (W4, D2). With that good form behind them, they have reason to believe they can further build on their outstanding historical top-flight H2H home record against Brest (W8, D2, L0). This game could be a tight clash though, especially as just one of Marseille’s last six L1 home matches has been settled by a two-goal margin or greater. Scoring first could be a game decider in any case, as Marseille are unbeaten in the previous 17 L1 home games in which they scored the opening goal (W15, D2).

Brest travel in possession of the third-worst away defence this term, conceding 1.83 goals on average per away game. That is an unsurprising statistic though, considering that the visitors have conceded the division’s highest average number of shots on target per away game (6.50) so far. In fact, they may want to keep it tight late on, with over half (six) of the 11 away league goals they have conceded so far arriving after the hour mark. Encouragingly though, Olivier Dall’Oglio’s men are clinical in the final third, with 33.33% of their shots on target in L1 away matches being converted into goals.

Players to watch: Marseille top scorer Darío Benedetto has netted just one of his six L1 goals this term at the Stade Vélodrome. Meanwhile, Mathias Autret has scored two L1 goals for Brest this season, with both arriving before the break.

Stat attack: Four of Marseille’s last five L1 home games have featured both sides scoring. Marseille have scored one goal precisely before the break in each of the last three L1 H2Hs held here. Brest have conceded the opener within 30 minutes in four of their last five L1 away games.

Match Info and Live Scores.