Netherlands vs. Estonia – Prediction (EURO Qualification – 19.11.2019)

Preview and Teams Comparison.

The Johann Cruijff ArenA hosts what is essentially an exhibition match, after the Netherlands (FIFA rank: #12) earned qualification for Euro 2020 in the last round. The hosts scored at least three goals in three of their last four victories, whilst three also saw both teams score – barring their 4-0 victory away to group minnows Estonia (#104). Giorgino Wijnaldum’s first-half brace in the Netherlands’ last victory means that he accounts for 40% of the Oranje’s last ten goals. Since the start of 2017, the Netherlands have played just two games vs nations ranked below #100 by FIFA, with both yielding a cleansheet victory by a margin of 4+ goals. Moreover, the Netherlands led at the break in both matches, whilst scoring 66.66% of their goals in the second half.

The Netherlands have averaged 5.75 corners per-match across their four competitive home games. Each of the last five H2Hs have seen over 2.5 match goals (4.4 goals per-match on average). Estonia have received fewer than two bookings in four of their last five away games.

Estonia’s latest defeat extended their current scoreless run to 396 minutes of play. More specifically, Estonia have lost to-nil, and conceded 16 goals in four games vs nations ranked within ten places of the Netherlands in 2019 (4.0 conceded per-match on average). Henri Anier scored the winner in Estonia’s only victory away from home turf this year to come against a nation ranked higher than themselves (vs Finland, Jan 2019) – albeit at a neutral location. In spite of their poor record, Estonia have held their own at least until half-time in over half of their Euro 2020 qualifiers (HT: W1, D4, L2). However, Estonia ultimately lost four of those five games in which they led or stood level at the interval (D1, L4). In turn, 60% of their qualification group defeats have come after a drawn first half.

Match Info and Live Scores.